家計消費とプランク分布
(ポーランド 2020)

不動産宇宙と固定為替相場(解説1)
住宅家賃とマクスウェル分布(解説2)
家計消費とプランク分布
国 2020 | 都市 2020

 消費品目分布の理論値(青線)は、プランク分布を変数(大人1人あたりの年間消費金額) E で割ったもの(プランク度数分布) E 2 e E k T - 1 に比例する。ただし、 E の単位は ukT である。(消費品目分布のピークを1単位目と2単位目のあいだに置くため、 u は0.8から1.59の範囲にある。また、消費品目分布のフィッティングは1単位目から3単位目までに着目する。)為替指数(物価指数にある定数 aをかけたもの)は、1単位目から3単位目までの消費品目数の総和とフィッティングで得た kT の積を観測データ(これは u の自由度だけ存在する)とする反復最小二乗法(為替指数との比が最小になる観測データを選んでから最小二乗法により新たな aを求める手続きの反復)から求まる。 kT を普遍的な値とすると、現地通貨建ての kT が小さいほどその現地通貨が高くなる。ただし、現地通貨建ての kT は消費品目数の影響を受けるので、その影響を排除したもの(為替指数)を考える必要がある。したがって、為替指数の比が固定為替相場である。なお、物価指数と為替指数の比 aの値は生活レベル(1人あたりの米ドル建て消費支出)を測定する年ごとに決まる。(未来への投資は今の生活レベルを下げるので、物価指数と為替指数の比 aが更新されるとき、投資の過不足分が過去の生活レベルに加算される。)また、消費品目分布の観測値(赤線)と物価指数は以下のページにもとづく。
https://stat.gov.pl/
https://www.imf.org/
ポーランドの生活レベル
2020年

※左=物価指数と為替指数の比aの初期値
※中央=反復最小二乗法から求まるaの不動点
※右=生活レベル(米ドル建て1人あたり(NPISHs控除前)家計最終消費支出)の候補
※太字は住宅家賃分布(マクスウェル分布)にもとづく確定値

200,940,14329
400,940,14329
600,940,14329
800,940,14329
1000,960,14031
1200,1200,11224
1400,1280,10523
1600,1280,10523
1800,2080,6475
2000,2080,6475
2200,2200,6122
2400,2200,6122
2600,2200,6122
2800,2200,6122
3000,2200,6122
3200,2200,6122
3400,2200,6122
3600,2200,6122
3800,2200,6122
4000,2200,6122
4200,2200,6122
4400,2200,6122
4600,2200,6122
4800,2200,6122
5000,2200,6122
5200,2200,6122
5400,2200,6122
5600,2200,6122
5800,2200,6122
6000,2200,6122
6200,2200,6122
6400,2200,6122
6600,2200,6122
6800,2200,6122
7000,2200,6122
7200,2200,6122
7400,2200,6122
7600,2200,6122
7800,2200,6122
8000,2200,6122
8200,2200,6122
8400,2200,6122
8600,2200,6122
8800,2200,6122
9000,2200,6122
9200,2200,6122
9400,2200,6122
9600,2200,6122
9800,2200,6122
10000,2200,6122

ポーランドの消費品目分布
2022年
u=1.15, kT=10240

ポーランドの消費品目
2022年

※左=大人1人あたりの年間消費金額(0.01ズウォティ)
※右=消費品目

0000000689,Preserved milk
0000000894,Insurance connected with health (private)
0000002332,Frozen vegetables and mushrooms
0000002949,Flour
0000003242,Breakfast cereals
0000003418,Apples
0000003917,Insurance connected with the dwelling and housing
0000004357,Social care
0000004474,Edible offal and offal preparations
0000004753,Hospital and sanatorium services
0000005721,Cream
0000006191,Pasta and pasta products
0000006792,Potatoes
0000008157,Dried frozen fruit nuts and processed fruit
0000008201,Yogurt
0000008392,Milk-based beverage and other milk products
0000008935,Audio-visual photographic and information processing equipment
0000011399,Curd
0000011737,Citrus fruit and bananas
0000011810,Vegetable fats
0000012294,Life insurance
0000012485,Insurance connected with transport
0000013101,Eggs
0000013175,Television and radio taxes
0000013424,Butter
0000013468,Milk
0000013556,Magazines newspapers books and stationery
0000014554,Animal fats
0000014979,Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments
0000017620,Personal effects n.e.c.
0000017914,Fish and seafood
0000018046,Paper-based and other hygienic artcles
0000018926,Dried vegetables and other processed vegetables
0000019161,Other fresh fruits
0000020481,Ripening and melted cheese
0000020965,Footwear
0000022256,Tobacco
0000024941,Pocket-money
0000025763,Education
0000026335,Poultry
0000027083,Group tourism
0000031103,Other food products n.e.c.
0000031881,Cheese and curd
0000032703,Alcohol beverages
0000033539,Articles for personal hygiene
0000033847,Bread
0000034096,Other bakery products
0000034155,Recreational and cultural services
0000035300,Out-patient services
0000038498,Fresh or chilled vegetables
0000039011,Sugar jam honey chocolate and confectionery
0000046465,Heat energy
0000046523,Other recreational items and equiupment gardens and pets
0000050294,Non-alcoholic beverages
0000052597,Fuel
0000056236,Cold water supply including sewerage services
0000058334,Raw meat
0000070071,Clothing and clothing materials
0000070218,Personal hygiene
0000071201,Processed meat and other meat preparations
0000079417,Medical products appliances and equipment
0000092724,Actual rentals for housing and other services connected with the dwelling
0000094661,Communication
0000100500,Restaurants and hotels
0000111754,Furnishing household equipment and routine maintenance of the house
0000146863,Electric power and gas
0000211272,Transport
0000411716,Housing water electricity gas and other fuels

ポーランドの消費品目分布
2021年
u=1.34, kT=8500

ポーランドの消費品目
2021年

※左=大人1人あたりの年間消費金額(0.01ズウォティ)
※右=消費品目

0000000616,Preserved milk
0000000821,Insurance connected with health (private)
0000002259,Flour
0000002289,Frozen vegetables and mushrooms
0000002978,Breakfast cereals
0000003580,Hospital and sanatorium services
0000003595,Social care
0000003786,Insurance connected with the dwelling and housing
0000003918,Edible offal and offal preparations
0000004020,Apples
0000004871,Pasta and pasta products
0000004930,Cream
0000005869,Potatoes
0000007190,Yogurt
0000007439,Milk-based beverage and other milk products
0000007894,Dried frozen fruit nuts and processed fruit
0000008247,Vegetable fats
0000010213,Curd
0000010668,Audio-visual photographic and information processing equipment
0000010844,Butter
0000010873,Milk
0000011049,Eggs
0000011534,Citrus fruit and bananas
0000011651,Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments
0000011710,Animal fats
0000012781,Life insurance
0000012972,Insurance connected with transport
0000013368,Magazines newspapers books and stationery
0000013882,Television and radio taxes
0000015246,Personal effects n.e.c.
0000015378,Paper-based and other hygienic artcles
0000016772,Ripening and melted cheese
0000017095,Dried vegetables and other processed vegetables
0000017712,Fish and seafood
0000018768,Other fresh fruits
0000019150,Group tourism
0000019311,Footwear
0000021292,Poultry
0000021483,Tobacco
0000021894,Education
0000023743,Pocket-money
0000026986,Cheese and curd
0000027089,Other food products n.e.c.
0000027969,Recreational and cultural services
0000028894,Bread
0000029495,Other bakery products
0000030904,Out-patient services
0000031594,Alcohol beverages
0000031696,Articles for personal hygiene
0000034162,Sugar jam honey chocolate and confectionery
0000036539,Fresh or chilled vegetables
0000038902,Fuel
0000042497,Other recreational items and equiupment gardens and pets
0000045358,Heat energy
0000045476,Non-alcoholic beverages
0000049673,Raw meat
0000053077,Cold water supply including sewerage services
0000062219,Personal hygiene
0000063467,Processed meat and other meat preparations
0000065726,Clothing and clothing materials
0000073665,Medical products appliances and equipment
0000079432,Restaurants and hotels
0000080372,Actual rentals for housing and other services connected with the dwelling
0000092419,Communication
0000108077,Furnishing household equipment and routine maintenance of the house
0000127917,Electric power and gas
0000181332,Transport
0000366289,Housing water electricity gas and other fuels

ポーランドの消費品目分布
2020年
u=1.24, kT=8160

ポーランドの消費品目
2020年

※左=大人1人あたりの年間消費金額(0.01ズウォティ)
※右=消費品目

0000000630,Preserved milk
0000000938,Insurance connected with health (private)
0000002345,Frozen vegetables and mushrooms
0000002447,Flour
0000002491,Hospital and sanatorium services
0000003048,Breakfast cereals
0000003371,Insurance connected with the dwelling and housing
0000003855,Edible offal and offal preparations
0000003869,Social care
0000004675,Pasta and pasta products
0000004881,Apples
0000004881,Cream
0000006537,Milk-based beverage and other milk products
0000006786,Yogurt
0000006933,Dried frozen fruit nuts and processed fruit
0000007241,Potatoes
0000007944,Vegetable fats
0000008897,Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments
0000009747,Curd
0000010099,Butter
0000010509,Eggs
0000010993,Animal fats
0000011081,Milk
0000011477,Audio-visual photographic and information processing equipment
0000011506,Citrus fruit and bananas
0000011975,Group tourism
0000012444,Life insurance
0000012488,Magazines newspapers books and stationery
0000012547,Insurance connected with transport
0000012620,Television and radio taxes
0000013573,Personal effects n.e.c.
0000015610,Paper-based and other hygienic artcles
0000015728,Ripening and melted cheese
0000015918,Fish and seafood
0000016109,Dried vegetables and other processed vegetables
0000017633,Footwear
0000017970,Education
0000018542,Other fresh fruits
0000020301,Poultry
0000020961,Tobacco
0000023013,Pocket-money
0000023629,Out-patient services
0000023643,Fuel
0000024640,Recreational and cultural services
0000025475,Cheese and curd
0000026340,Other food products n.e.c.
0000026575,Other bakery products
0000027337,Bread
0000029990,Alcohol beverages
0000030386,Articles for personal hygiene
0000032335,Sugar jam honey chocolate and confectionery
0000034461,Fresh or chilled vegetables
0000038668,Other recreational items and equiupment gardens and pets
0000042596,Heat energy
0000042904,Non-alcoholic beverages
0000049398,Raw meat
0000050409,Cold water supply including sewerage services
0000055730,Clothing and clothing materials
0000058222,Personal hygiene
0000063865,Processed meat and other meat preparations
0000067735,Medical products appliances and equipment
0000068131,Restaurants and hotels
0000079051,Actual rentals for housing and other services connected with the dwelling
0000087172,Communication
0000101390,Furnishing household equipment and routine maintenance of the house
0000115579,Electric power and gas
0000156344,Transport
0000333283,Housing water electricity gas and other fuels

ポーランドの消費品目分布
2019年
u=1.14, kT=8040

ポーランドの消費品目
2019年

※左=大人1人あたりの年間消費金額(0.01ズウォティ)
※右=消費品目

0000000541,Preserved milk
0000001083,Insurance connected with health (private)
0000001977,Flour
0000002109,Frozen vegetables and mushrooms
0000002621,Breakfast cereals
0000003529,Insurance connected with the dwelling and housing
0000003603,Apples
0000003808,Edible offal and offal preparations
0000003969,Hospital and sanatorium services
0000004013,Social care
0000004144,Pasta and pasta products
0000004598,Cream
0000005843,Dried frozen fruit nuts and processed fruit
0000005946,Milk-based beverage and other milk products
0000006224,Yogurt
0000007777,Vegetable fats
0000008905,Curd
0000008963,Potatoes
0000009549,Milk
0000009666,Citrus fruit and bananas
0000009695,Audio-visual photographic and information processing equipment
0000009783,Butter
0000010091,Eggs
0000010604,Animal fats
0000010647,Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments
0000011043,Life insurance
0000011980,Television and radio taxes
0000012859,Magazines newspapers books and stationery
0000013049,Insurance connected with transport
0000014031,Ripening and melted cheese
0000014207,Dried vegetables and other processed vegetables
0000014499,Fish and seafood
0000015569,Paper-based and other hygienic artcles
0000016052,Other fresh fruits
0000016667,Personal effects n.e.c.
0000020168,Poultry
0000020797,Tobacco
0000021295,Footwear
0000022936,Cheese and curd
0000024488,Other food products n.e.c.
0000024840,Out-patient services
0000025645,Alcohol beverages
0000026275,Other bakery products
0000026275,Pocket-money
0000027403,Bread
0000027491,Education
0000028765,Fuel
0000028912,Group tourism
0000029439,Articles for personal hygiene
0000029615,Sugar jam honey chocolate and confectionery
0000031109,Recreational and cultural services
0000032251,Fresh or chilled vegetables
0000035590,Other recreational items and equiupment gardens and pets
0000040878,Heat energy
0000041112,Non-alcoholic beverages
0000048245,Raw meat
0000048596,Cold water supply including sewerage services
0000059010,Personal hygiene
0000059859,Processed meat and other meat preparations
0000065367,Medical products appliances and equipment
0000067373,Clothing and clothing materials
0000079442,Actual rentals for housing and other services connected with the dwelling
0000080906,Communication
0000089943,Restaurants and hotels
0000103374,Furnishing household equipment and routine maintenance of the house
0000109833,Electric power and gas
0000177837,Transport
0000329442,Housing water electricity gas and other fuels

ポーランドの消費品目分布
2018年
u=1.59, kT=7580

ポーランドの消費品目
2018年

※左=大人1人あたりの年間消費金額(0.01ズウォティ)
※右=消費品目

0000000483,Preserved milk
0000000980,Insurance connected with health (private)
0000001815,Flour
0000001888,Frozen vegetables and mushrooms
0000002430,Breakfast cereals
0000002693,Social care
0000003469,Hospital and sanatorium services
0000003498,Edible offal and offal preparations
0000003776,Pasta and pasta products
0000003820,Insurance connected with the dwelling and housing
0000003908,Apples
0000004508,Cream
0000005284,Dried frozen fruit nuts and processed fruit
0000005416,Potatoes
0000005577,Milk-based beverage and other milk products
0000005899,Yogurt
0000008139,Vegetable fats
0000008402,Curd
0000008944,Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments
0000009149,Citrus fruit and bananas
0000009690,Milk
0000009939,Life insurance
0000009954,Audio-visual photographic and information processing equipment
0000010042,Butter
0000010730,Eggs
0000010803,Animal fats
0000011213,Television and radio taxes
0000012252,Magazines newspapers books and stationery
0000012633,Dried vegetables and other processed vegetables
0000013072,Ripening and melted cheese
0000013409,Fish and seafood
0000013687,Insurance connected with transport
0000014214,Paper-based and other hygienic artcles
0000015224,Other fresh fruits
0000015736,Personal effects n.e.c.
0000018020,Education
0000019132,Poultry
0000019689,Tobacco
0000021167,Footwear
0000021474,Cheese and curd
0000022192,Out-patient services
0000022543,Other food products n.e.c.
0000023568,Alcohol beverages
0000024080,Other bakery products
0000026247,Bread
0000026832,Pocket-money
0000027637,Group tourism
0000027667,Sugar jam honey chocolate and confectionery
0000027915,Articles for personal hygiene
0000028135,Fresh or chilled vegetables
0000028867,Recreational and cultural services
0000030829,Fuel
0000032380,Other recreational items and equiupment gardens and pets
0000039524,Non-alcoholic beverages
0000041134,Heat energy
0000046609,Raw meat
0000047458,Cold water supply including sewerage services
0000054104,Personal hygiene
0000056593,Processed meat and other meat preparations
0000061321,Medical products appliances and equipment
0000064439,Clothing and clothing materials
0000069636,Communication
0000072944,Actual rentals for housing and other services connected with the dwelling
0000086221,Restaurants and hotels
0000098210,Furnishing household equipment and routine maintenance of the house
0000107404,Electric power and gas
0000181563,Transport
0000318303,Housing water electricity gas and other fuels

ポーランドの消費品目分布
2017年
u=1.57, kT=7320

ポーランドの消費品目
2017年

※左=大人1人あたりの年間消費金額(0.01ズウォティ)
※右=消費品目

0000000497,Preserved milk
0000001082,Insurance connected with health (private)
0000001755,Frozen vegetables and mushrooms
0000001814,Flour
0000002384,Breakfast cereals
0000002560,Social care
0000002940,Hospital and sanatorium services
0000003511,Edible offal and offal preparations
0000003511,Insurance connected with the dwelling and housing
0000003584,Pasta and pasta products
0000003847,Apples
0000004257,Cream
0000004886,Dried frozen fruit nuts and processed fruit
0000005222,Milk-based beverage and other milk products
0000005339,Potatoes
0000005720,Yogurt
0000008104,Curd
0000008411,Vegetable fats
0000008543,Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments
0000008982,Citrus fruit and bananas
0000009435,Butter
0000009757,Eggs
0000009801,Milk
0000010138,Audio-visual photographic and information processing equipment
0000010196,Animal fats
0000010723,Life insurance
0000011703,Dried vegetables and other processed vegetables
0000012595,Ripening and melted cheese
0000012727,Magazines newspapers books and stationery
0000012800,Television and radio taxes
0000013268,Fish and seafood
0000013649,Insurance connected with transport
0000013780,Paper-based and other hygienic artcles
0000014512,Other fresh fruits
0000015975,Personal effects n.e.c.
0000016574,Education
0000018974,Tobacco
0000019530,Poultry
0000020700,Cheese and curd
0000021797,Other food products n.e.c.
0000022134,Alcohol beverages
0000022938,Other bakery products
0000024226,Footwear
0000025908,Bread
0000026742,Fresh or chilled vegetables
0000027166,Sugar jam honey chocolate and confectionery
0000027385,Pocket-money
0000027444,Articles for personal hygiene
0000029126,Recreational and cultural services
0000030165,Other recreational items and equiupment gardens and pets
0000032155,Out-patient services
0000035710,Group tourism
0000036982,Non-alcoholic beverages
0000038533,Heat energy
0000041649,Fuel
0000045906,Cold water supply including sewerage services
0000047779,Raw meat
0000052884,Personal hygiene
0000055693,Processed meat and other meat preparations
0000059716,Medical products appliances and equipment
0000066797,Clothing and clothing materials
0000067660,Actual rentals for housing and other services connected with the dwelling
0000078544,Restaurants and hotels
0000080534,Communication
0000090072,Furnishing household equipment and routine maintenance of the house
0000103370,Electric power and gas
0000149233,Transport
0000336355,Housing water electricity gas and other fuels

ポーランドの消費品目分布
2014年
u=1.5, kT=6940

ポーランドの消費品目
2014年

※左=大人1人あたりの年間消費金額(0.01ズウォティ)
※右=消費品目

0000000468,Preserved milk
0000001260,Social care
0000001509,Frozen vegetables and mushrooms
0000001538,Insurance connected with health (private)
0000001729,Hospital and sanatorium services
0000002110,Breakfast cereals
0000002212,Flour
0000003326,Pasta and pasta products
0000003384,Edible offal and offal preparations
0000003428,Dried frozen fruit nuts and processed fruit
0000003692,Insurance connected with the dwelling and housing
0000003736,Apples
0000004146,Cream
0000004278,Milk-based beverage and other milk products
0000005377,Yogurt
0000006154,Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments
0000006505,Potatoes
0000007062,Citrus fruit and bananas
0000007136,Butter
0000007810,Curd
0000008000,Animal fats
0000009055,Vegetable fats
0000009348,Eggs
0000009495,Dried vegetables and other processed vegetables
0000009539,Insurance connected with transport
0000010916,Life insurance
0000010945,Audio-visual photographic and information processing equipment
0000011253,Milk
0000011663,Ripening and melted cheese
0000012030,Other fresh fruits
0000012147,Fish and seafood
0000012337,Paper-based and other hygienic artcles
0000014213,Personal effects n.e.c.
0000014653,Television and radio taxes
0000015502,Magazines newspapers books and stationery
0000017554,Education
0000017906,Other bakery products
0000019136,Alcohol beverages
0000019224,Other food products n.e.c.
0000019356,Poultry
0000019488,Cheese and curd
0000020763,Tobacco
0000022917,Fresh or chilled vegetables
0000023049,Sugar jam honey chocolate and confectionery
0000023210,Group tourism
0000023239,Other recreational items and equiupment gardens and pets
0000024192,Out-patient services
0000024778,Footwear
0000024851,Pocket-money
0000024880,Articles for personal hygiene
0000028265,Bread
0000028441,Recreational and cultural services
0000033174,Non-alcoholic beverages
0000037760,Heat energy
0000038259,Cold water supply including sewerage services
0000040002,Fuel
0000045922,Personal hygiene
0000048003,Raw meat
0000052208,Processed meat and other meat preparations
0000053131,Medical products appliances and equipment
0000059886,Clothing and clothing materials
0000065806,Actual rentals for housing and other services connected with the dwelling
0000066070,Restaurants and hotels
0000077309,Furnishing household equipment and routine maintenance of the house
0000079375,Communication
0000103406,Electric power and gas
0000145050,Transport
0000317575,Housing water electricity gas and other fuels

ポーランドの消費品目分布
2013年
u=1.54, kT=6960

ポーランドの消費品目
2013年

※左=大人1人あたりの年間消費金額(0.01ズウォティ)
※右=消費品目

0000000513,Preserved milk
0000001423,Social care
0000001482,Frozen vegetables and mushrooms
0000001541,Insurance connected with health (private)
0000001922,Hospital and sanatorium services
0000002157,Breakfast cereals
0000002319,Flour
0000003200,Dried frozen fruit nuts and processed fruit
0000003288,Pasta and pasta products
0000003376,Edible offal and offal preparations
0000003757,Insurance connected with the dwelling and housing
0000003992,Apples
0000003992,Milk-based beverage and other milk products
0000004124,Cream
0000005445,Yogurt
0000005695,Hairdressing salons and personal grooming establishments
0000006928,Butter
0000007031,Citrus fruit and bananas
0000007368,Potatoes
0000007853,Curd
0000007897,Animal fats
0000009159,Dried vegetables and other processed vegetables
0000009541,Vegetable fats
0000009820,Insurance connected with transport
0000009849,Eggs
0000010657,Life insurance
0000011229,Milk
0000011302,Ripening and melted cheese
0000011802,Other fresh fruits
0000011890,Fish and seafood
0000012125,Paper-based and other hygienic artcles
0000013035,Audio-visual photographic and information processing equipment
0000014106,Personal effects n.e.c.
0000015031,Television and radio taxes
0000016323,Magazines newspapers books and stationery
0000017159,Other bakery products
0000018393,Education
0000018671,Alcohol beverages
0000018789,Other food products n.e.c.
0000019156,Cheese and curd
0000019670,Poultry
0000021402,Tobacco
0000021416,Other recreational items and equiupment gardens and pets
0000021431,Group tourism
0000023016,Fresh or chilled vegetables
0000023266,Footwear
0000023589,Out-patient services
0000024044,Articles for personal hygiene
0000024719,Sugar jam honey chocolate and confectionery
0000025292,Pocket-money
0000028272,Recreational and cultural services
0000029373,Bread
0000033409,Non-alcoholic beverages
0000036536,Heat energy
0000037637,Cold water supply including sewerage services
0000044096,Personal hygiene
0000044977,Restaurants and hotels
0000046841,Fuel
0000048867,Raw meat
0000051582,Processed meat and other meat preparations
0000053667,Medical products appliances and equipment
0000055575,Clothing and clothing materials
0000064382,Actual rentals for housing and other services connected with the dwelling
0000072911,Furnishing household equipment and routine maintenance of the house
0000080280,Communication
0000107172,Electric power and gas
0000150285,Transport
0000323764,Housing water electricity gas and other fuels



会社概要 | プライバシーポリシー | お問い合わせ

© Since 2022 144thousandshares Corp.